Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ADA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-09-29 0.258392 0.298460 0.342491 0.394440 0.454034 0.520241 0.599357
2024-10-06 0.206549 0.261371 0.327056 0.411448 0.516913 0.644281 0.809731
2024-10-13 0.161210 0.221862 0.300530 0.409794 0.557400 0.749661 1.018938
2024-10-20 0.131955 0.196295 0.286090 0.420093 0.614524 0.885880 1.292914
2024-10-27 0.104496 0.167222 0.260983 0.410597 0.642583 0.987727 1.539282
2024-11-03 0.089349 0.152962 0.254253 0.426145 0.709379 1.156078 1.912258
2024-11-10 0.077593 0.141477 0.249370 0.443252 0.781227 1.343751 2.347907
2024-11-17 0.065428 0.126649 0.235977 0.443347 0.824521 1.491840 2.743777
2024-11-24 0.055380 0.113443 0.222736 0.440870 0.862305 1.635875 3.156165
2024-12-01 0.047483 0.102623 0.211710 0.440145 0.902644 1.790131 3.611834
2024-12-08 0.041323 0.093971 0.203155 0.442414 0.948699 1.961632 4.127482
2024-12-15 0.036936 0.088139 0.199160 0.453082 1.013172 2.178513 4.767350
2024-12-22 0.032199 0.080655 0.190531 0.452866 1.056084 2.361245 5.373417
2024-12-29 0.029013 0.076120 0.187596 0.464854 1.128049 2.617158 6.180049
2025-01-05 0.025124 0.069019 0.177380 0.458008 1.155923 2.781227 6.810323
2025-01-12 0.022618 0.064913 0.173597 0.466053 1.220657 3.039523 7.701572
2025-01-19 0.019464 0.058362 0.162406 0.453281 1.231828 3.173693 8.318689
2025-01-26 0.017970 0.056121 0.162036 0.468813 1.318227 3.504786 9.477726
2025-02-02 0.016709 0.054280 0.162405 0.486470 1.413519 3.873441 10.793027
2025-02-09 0.014948 0.050520 0.156652 0.485819 1.458694 4.119576 11.826381
2025-02-16 0.013332 0.046844 0.150423 0.482602 1.496142 4.351224 12.858936
2025-02-23 0.011978 0.043709 0.145210 0.481465 1.539584 4.606490 13.999832
2025-03-02 0.010872 0.041157 0.141311 0.483706 1.593762 4.901014 15.302217